Paul vs. Woodley II Analysis
In the second installment of what has now officially become a rivalry, Woodley comes in as the +230 underdog with Paul as the -290 favorite. This is a marked difference in the odds offered in August when Paul closed as a -160 favorite. Seeing Paul’s odds nearly double in value after the first fight is bizarre to say the least. In a split decision victory, he didn’t look like a favorite of the -300 in the first fight.
Woodley lost the initial fight early because he looked horrible in the first three rounds. He lost those three rounds decisively and barely managed a jab. Overall, Woodley threw less than 10 punches in the first round, showing his reluctance to throw any strikes. His lack of activity is a terrible omen for anyone hoping Woodley can win a decision. Things improved for him as the fight progressed, but he was still clearly out 71-52 in Paul’s favor by BoxingScene.com.
As the +230 underdog, one judge gave the fight to Woodley, 77-75, and the other two awarded it to Paul. It would be less than shocking to see a draw in this fight, but punters are offering +1600 on this outcome.
Bet Pick: How Dillon Danis Facts In One Way Or Another
If you don’t know the name of Dillon Danis, you aren’t missing out on much in terms of combat. He was fighting for the Bellator MMA, but suffered a serious knee injury that appears to have taken him out of mixed martial arts. He was also Conor McGregor‘s jiu-jitsu trainer for a short stint that really made him famous. His slight involvement in this rematch begins and ends with a discussion on the Ariel Helwani podcast. Dillon Danis made headlines claiming that Tyron Woodley was prohibited from eliminating Jake Paul under a contract clause. This is an unfounded claim and, at best, a conspiracy theory.
True or not, Danis’ claim must have caught Jake Paul’s attention. A clause was added to the contract for the possibility of Woodley landing a KO / TKO. If this happens, Woodley receives a bonus of $ 500,000! There will be a lot of motivation for Woodley to deliver the final blow to take down Paul.
The betting odds are all over the place compared to the last fight. For example, Woodley’s KO / TKO prop is currently at +350 on Caesars Sportsbook. The bet ended on the first fight with Woodley to win by KO / TKO at +190.
Plus, Woodley’s to win by decision has opened +2000 to many books across the industry. For the rematch, that line fell to +750 on FanDuel Sportsbook and +800 on DraftKings Sportsbook. Woodley is highly unlikely to win a decision due to his volume issues, so this is no play for me.
With an additional $ 500,000 in-game bonus and a potential trilogy fight looming, “The Chosen One” is worth a very worthwhile bet at its current odds. As the money rolls in expect Woodley to be a worthy bet of +200 or better this weekend.
Paul vs. Woodley II betting picks
Our choices : Woodley ML +230 | Woodley wins in rounds 5-6 +1200 (Caesars)
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