Prediction: Eddie Wineland vs. Cody Stamann

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Former WEC bantamweight champion Eddie Wineland (24-15 professionally; 6-9 in the UFC) is looking to get back into the win column since his 1-4 slippage. Likewise, Cody Stamann (19-5 professionally; 5-4-1 in the UFC) is on a 3-fight losing streak, so he too is in desperate need of a win.

Although both fighters are likely fighting to stay in the UFC, they have both shown that they have top-notch skills during parts of their careers. So, the fight for career development accompanied by legitimate skills that can be displayed in the octagon makes this fight a high-stakes affair not to be missed!

Betting odds

The younger, more “in his prime” fighter, Cody Stamann, is a huge -550 favorite over veteran, Eddie Wineland.

  • Cody Staman: -550 (BetUS)
  • Eddie Wineland: +375 (BetUS)

Stamann is a big favorite and that means a $100 bet would only bring the winners $118. If Wineland manages to defeat Stamann this weekend, bettors would see $475 paid out for every $100 bet.

Breakdown

Eddie Wineland, sporting a stellar mustache, is a fan-friendly fighter who has earned 15 of his 24 wins by TKO/KO. His strong divisional power, impressive takedown defense and all-around toughness helped Wineland win the WEC belt and later challenge for an interim title in the UFC.

With historic credibility granted, now is the time to throw that away and look at recent remarkable performance. This is important to do because often times individuals can fall in love with what a fighter did in their prime as opposed to the skills they have in the later stages of their career. For Wineland, the recent performances he has showcased justify the belief that he should have been fired from the promotion after his last knockout loss to John Castaneda or be frank, that this fight will be the final nail needed for his metaphorical coffin. That statement is indeed harsh, but the skills Wineland once possessed are simply lacking in his current form as a fighter, which is no surprise considering he’s been fighting professionally since 2003.

In a more technical sense, Wineland uses back-and-forth movements, delivering powerful punches from unorthodox angles. The problem with this is that he no longer needs to speed up to land said power shots nor dodging counterattacks once in range. So, given a lack of speed, he’s able to be countered quite cleanly given his hands are in a bad defensive position. Having poor punching defense with a dangerous lack of speed has resulted in Wineland being knocked out in his last two fights, and I see no evidence to suggest the stylistic approach chosen for his change of fighting game.

Luckily for Wineland it’s that Cody Stamann is much more of a wrestler than a fluid elite striker, which should help Wineland avoid the early knockout, and given he has a strong track record in maintaining the fight, he may be able to prevent Stamann from implementing his preferred tactic. That said, Stamann is a very strong wrestler in the octagon and he does an impeccable job of using tight boxing to surprise his opponent given that he is presented as only a wrestler. Knowing that he underestimated boxing and knowing that Wineland has the ability to keep the fight standing warrants further discussion of Stamann’s stand-up game.

When held upright, Stamann, having a tight boxing, uses explosive burst moves to get into the pocket and land his most devastating punch by far, his left hook. I suspect the punch is as strong as it is due to the fact that he has a naturally heavy left hook coupled with his opponent’s belief when in a tight pocket Stamann will be looking to lower the levels and will draw a takedown unlike pursuing a boxing exchange. The latter’s result allows his hook to land unsuspected, which is a recipe for damage.

Prediction

Cody Stamann is a borderline ranked fighter in the bantamweight and featherweight division – I say this knowing his recent stumbles lately. His powerful left hook accompanied by a strong fight justifies my belief. Even if you, the reader, think I may be too high on Stamann, note that this match is one of the biggest current talent disparities in recent memory – as evidenced by the high betting price. All in all, I expect Stamann to dominate every position and every minute of the fight, leading to a decisive and clean win. To keep the betting price down, I think the talent disparity will be too great for the fight to last the scheduled 15 minutes, as such I like Stamann ITD.

Bet: Cody Stamann to win from distance

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