UFC Fight Night 214 odds: main card, preliminaries, analysis and predictions

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The Ultimate Fighting Championships returns for another weekend of incredible fights and an event filled with up-and-coming contenders and seasoned veterans alike. Besides the main event of UFC Fight Night 214: Rodriguez vs Lemos, the entire fight card is worth watching, and here are our predictions for the most important fights.

Chase Sherman vs. Josh Parisien

Preview of Chase Sherman

Chase is a 32 year old American fighter. He made his UFC debut in August 2016 against Justin Ledet, to whom he lost via unanimous decision. Between 2016 and 2018, Chase fought 7 fights in the UFC: 2 wins and 5 losses. In 2018, he was on a three-fight losing streak and was fired from Dana White’s organization.

In 2020, many fighters refused to compete due to the coronavirus pandemic, and matchmakers gave Chase a second chance.

But Sherman did not achieve serious success after his return. After beating Villanueva, he went on a 4-game losing streak. Chase’s last fight was in July 2022. His opponent was Jared Vanderaa. Sherman won by knockout in the 3rd round.

Chase is a grassroots kickboxer, he prefers to work on the stand. Sherman works aggressively in the pit, throwing a lot of accurate shots. The fighter lands well and controls the opponent at the net, where he delivers powerful blows with his knees and elbows.

Chase gets too carried away with attacking moves and forgets about defense. He misses on average more than 5 shots per minute. This can turn into a knockout against a serious puncher.

I will note Sherman’s lackluster skills in the field. He’s too easy to control.

Josh Parisien Preview

Josh is a 33 year old American fighter. Le Parisien made his UFC debut in November 2020 in a fight against Parker Porter, which he lost by unanimous decision. In total, Josh had 4 fights: 2 won and 2 lost.

Josh prefers to fight in a standing position and stands out for his aggressiveness at the start of the fight and his impressive physical strength. But the American sags quickly in cardio. He is already very tired in the 2nd round, that’s why he starts making mistakes and misses a lot of shots.

Parisien is not a good wrestler. He can be easily controlled on the ground as Josh is either standing still or losing his position, trying to get up. Therefore, an experienced grappler will mark it with the ground and deliver or submit it.

Prediction Parisian vs Sherman

I doubt Parisien and Sherman will stage a showdown on the field and I think the more effective boxer should be picked to win. Parisien has enough power for 1.5 rounds, after which he starts to get very tired. An additional problem for the fighter is that he does not have enough knockout power for the heavyweight division.

Tagir Ulanbekov vs. Nate Maness

Tagir Ulanbekov Preview

Tagir is a 31-year-old Russian fighter. He made his UFC debut in October 2020 against Bruno Silva, whom he defeated by unanimous decision. Tagir’s last fight was in March 2022. His opponent was Tim Elliott. Ulanbekov lost via unanimous decision.

Ulanbekov is a grassroots wrestler and prefers to work on the ground in combat. He breaks through the opponent’s defense well, strives to take a dominant position and likes to attempt submissions.

The fight with Tim Elliott showed that Ulanbekov had some serious flaws. On the bar he couldn’t effectively resist Elliott’s clumsy boxing, and on the floor he couldn’t control him for long.

Preview of Nate Maness

Nate is a 31 year old American fighter. He made his UFC debut in August 2020 against Johnny Munoz Jr., whom he defeated by unanimous decision. In November of that year, Maness submitted Luke Sanders in the 2nd round.

Nate last won in September 2021 when he knocked out Tony Gravely. Maness’ last fight was in June 2022. His opponent was Umar Nurmagomedov. Nate lost via unanimous decision.

Nate is versatile. In the stands, he relies on boxing technique and physical strength. He constantly feints, trying to confuse the opponent and waiting for the perfect moment to deliver a precise and powerful punch. On the court, Maness relies on his BJJ skills.

The main downside to Maness is that it misses around 5 shots per minute. Defense issues led to his first career loss being a hard knockout. Also in the fight with Umar Nurmagomedov, the fighter’s second weakness was revealed: he is not yet at the level of the best fighters in the division.

Ulanbekov vs Maness Prediction

I don’t understand why Nate Maness is such a big underdog. The only suspicion is the fact that he is going down the flyweight division and it is unclear in what form he will come out after an intense weight run. I don’t think the Russian will be able to deal effectively with a taller opponent who demonstrates more skill on the pitch than Ulanbekov’s former opponent.

At the helm, Nate will have the advantage. Despite the fact that Tagir will often hit Maness, the punching power advantage will be on the American’s side. Nate is a bigger and more powerful fighter, so in exchanges he will deal a lot more damage than the Russian.

Grant Dawson vs. Mark Madsen

Preview of Grant Dawson

Grant is a 28 year old American fighter. In August 2017, he came on Dana White’s Contender Series show, where he submitted Andriano Diaz in the 2nd round and received a contract with the UFC.

Grant’s debut came in March 2019 in a duel against Julian Erosa, whom he defeated by unanimous decision. In total, Dawson spent 7 fights in the UFC: 6 won, and 1 fight ended in a draw.

Grant’s foundation is freestyle wrestling, bolstered by a brown belt in BJJ. Dawson performs confident takedowns, controls opponents well, and does competent positioning work. Grant took 12 of 18 victories by submission.

From a standing position, Dawson does a lot of work, pressing aggressively and throwing a lot of punches from different angles. I note Grant’s great will to win. In the 3rd round of the fight against Leonardo Santos, it was unclear who the judges would give preference to. Dawson took the initiative, decided to take the win, and finished Santos brilliantly with 1 second left in the fight.

Preview of Mark Madsen

Mark is a 38 year old fighter from Denmark. He joined the UFC in September 2019 and in his debut fought Danilo Belluardo, whom he defeated by technical knockout in the 1st round. After that, Madsen had 3 more fights and won them all.

Mark is a skilled fighter. He achieved his greatest success in the sport outside of the UFC. He is an Olympic silver medalist in Greco-Roman wrestling and a 5-time world championship medalist in this discipline. Therefore, it is natural that in battle the Dane relies on his strengths – control of the opponent on the ground.

Dawson vs Madsen Prediction

Mark is a top wrestler and Grant might not be able to maintain the status quo on the court. Most of Dawson’s wins have come from good grappling, but will he be able to match an Olympic medalist on even terms? Good question.

Darrick Minner vs. Shayilan Nurdanbieke

Preview by Darrick Minner

Derrick is a 32 year old American fighter. In August 2019, he attempted to enter the UFC by competing on Dana White’s Contender Series show. Miner fought Herbert Burns, brother of former title contender Gilbert Burns. The Brazilian submitted Derrick in the middle of the 1st round.

Minner made his UFC debut in February 2020 against Grant Dawson, to whom he lost by 2nd round choke. Derrick ended this failure with two wins and two more losses.

Derrick Minner’s main asset is wrestling. Thanks to the base in BJJ, the fighter, once on the canvas, is constantly looking for an opportunity to perform a submission. Additionally, Derrick has a good sense of balance and can drag an opponent into a dominant position.

Minner is a mediocre fighter. He has poor punching technique. All his actions in the position are aimed at quickly approaching the enemy for a dismount. He does not pierce the combinations but launches wide and perceptible blows.

Shayilan Nurdanbieke Preview

Shayilan is a 28 year old Chinese fighter. He made his UFC debut in May 2021 against Joshua Culibao, to whom he lost via unanimous decision. In November of the same year, Nurdanbieke closed the loss by beating Sean Soriano on points.

Shayilan’s last fight was in June 2022. His opponent was TJ Brown. Nurdanbieke won by unanimous decision.

Shayilan prefers to fight at the bar. He throws technical boxing combinations, constantly punches his opponent, and has knockout power. 17 wins out of 30 won by Nurdanbek thanks to KO / TKO.

The Asian has little experience in high-level performance. Probably, his skills are far from being able to compete on equal terms with the best UFC fighters.

Minner vs Nurdanbieke Prediction

Derrick Miner is not credible enough to be considered an interesting underdog, and Shayilan has fought only mediocre opposition, and betting on him for low odds is an unwarranted risk. Nonetheless, this will be one of the most interesting fights at UFC Vegas 64 besides the main event between Marina Rodriguez and Amanda Lemos.

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